Trond Andresen, MSc
The AFP article Science unveils hidden drivers of stock bubbles and crashes said
Many economists believe that investors make decisions rationally, weighing up corporate data and other pricing signals to evaluate gain or risk before buying or selling stocks.
But this keystone belief in how markets function is now under mounting attack after this month’s global stocks crash, the latest in a string of financial shocks over the past two decades.
Trond Andresen at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, says investors may think less about the intrinsic value of a stock and more about the perception of its value.
This is an important distinction, he says.
“Short-term volatility is created when you have people running after each other,” he argues.
“If people stopped chasing what they think the other person is thinking, rather than actually trying to value a stock on their own best terms without second-guessing people, the volatility would disappear.”
Trond Andresen, MSc is Senior Lecturer,
Department of Engineering Cybernetics,
Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
Trond has a Master’s degree (1973) in control engineering from
The Norwegian Institute of Technology in Trondheim, Norway (in 1996
renamed the Norwegian University of Science and Technology [NTNU]), and
is a lecturer there since 1982 (tenure since 1984) teaching control
systems in earlier years mostly discrete control, signals and
systems
theory, stochastic processes.
In the period 1973–1980, he held several occupations, among them
research assistant at the university, and electrician in a shipbuilding
plant.
He led a hybrid vehicle demonstration project 1990 – 1991 (funded by
SINTEF), where a Renault Espace was equipped with a parallel
hybrid drive system: compressed natural-gas as fuel for the combustion
engine and battery power for the electric motor. He has
written and
lectured on the topic of electric vehicles on many occasions. He has
in
later years guided student projects involving the
Norwegian-produced
electric vehicle “Think”.
Trond is currently a participant in, and the Norwegian contact for, the
SkyTran personal rapid transit project: automatically guided
magnetically levitated modules for urban and intercity transport of
people (and goods).
He has also lectured and written on diverse topics like application of
systems theory to society, national industrial policy,
commercial vs
public service media, modern means of traffic reduction in cities,
long-term future scenarios, alternative trade and industrial policy.
An
important research interest for him is modeling of social, political and
economic processes with tools from control and systems theory. He is
especially interested in
the dynamics of finance, money, and debt. This
autumn (2008) he is giving a new course in (the discipline that for
control engineers is somewhat confusingly called)
System Dynamics.
Trond has had two one-year sabbaticals, both in Australia. He stayed in
Sydney in 1997–1998, working with Dr. Steve Keen at the University of
Western Sydney on monetary macroeconomic modeling. The next sabbatical
was in 2003–2004 at the School of Policy, Faculty of Business and Law,
at the University of Newcastle, cooperating with Dr. James Juniper
there, and also with Steve Keen at the UWS. Steve Keen has visited Trond
at his department at NTNU for several shorter stays.
Trond was in 1999 – 2001 an elected academic representative on the
board
of the NTNU.
In 2006 he was
awarded the SINTEF prize for excellence in teaching.
(The prize is awarded annually to one of the approximately 1500 teachers
at the NTNU.
SINTEF, with 2000 employees, is Scandinavia’s largest
technological research establishment, and is co-located and cooperates
with the NTNU.) Before that he received the “Teacher of the year” 2005
prize at the university’s Faculty of Information Technology, Mathematics
and Electrical Engineering.
Beside his academic occupation he has also worked as a journalist. He
was the founder, and also free-time editor/reporter from 1982 to 1996,
of a non-commercial FM radio station in the city of Trondheim (approx.
150 000 inhabitants). He has also free-lanced in-between as a radio
reporter for the NRK (the public service Norwegian Broadcasting
Corporation) in the areas news/current affairs, science, technology,
economy, politics. Trond is well versed in microphones, acoustics,
recording and editing (technology), and gave courses on these topics
during his radio period.
He has used most of his life (besides university work) for political
activism and journalism, writing in and for (mostly Norwegian) journals
and newspapers, doing radio programs or being interviewed, debating in
different societies, and since 1992 also writing and debating on the
Internet. He also runs some net forums.
Trond is married for the second time. He has two adult daughters from
the first marriage, and two small boys from the second (born in 2002 and
2005).
He is enjoys bicycling, but on recumbent bicycles. He has two of those
(of the German make HP Velotechnik).
Read
Two Feasible Future Scenarios:
A high-tech Utopia and a high-tech Dystopia and
The inherent and dangerous dynamics of
media in a market economy.
